Assessing the “expected goals” statistic after watching a match usually produces roughly the type of numbers you would expect.
If you watched the game, and saw the balance of play and the chances created at either end, you’ve probably roughly calculated the situation in your head. After all, while “expected goals” is a recent innovation, supporters have been debating who “deserved” to win a game for decades.
Last night’s Euro 2020 meeting between France and Germany, though, was something of an exception.
To most who watched the game, France were superior. They probably “deserved” the win, and they could have won by more.
