NCAA Tournament 2022 bracket: Advanced simulation predicts surprising upsets, March Madness picks, sleepers – CBS Sports

NCAA Tournament 2022 bracket: Advanced simulation predicts surprising upsets, March Madness picks, sleepers – CBS Sports
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The game of basketball has evolved and the emphasis on outside shooting has never been as high as it is now. When scanning the 2022 NCAA Tournament bracket, South Dakota State stands out since it led the nation with 44.9 percent shooting from beyond the arc. That is the highest three-point percentage by any team in over a dozen years and has fans of the No. 13 Jackrabbits thinking upset. They also average 86.7 points, which only trails Gonzaga for the highest-scoring team in the country and in the 2022 March Madness bracket.

South Dakota State could see Big Ten Tournament champion Iowa in the second round, but it tips off March Madness 2022 versus No. 4 Providence. At least one 13-seed has upset a No. 4 seed in 26 of the last 36 NCAA Tournament brackets, so can the Jackrabbits become the latest? Before you make your 2022 NCAA Tournament predictions, see the March Madness bracket picks from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s advanced computer model absolutely crushed its March Madness picks last tournament, beating over 92 percent of all CBS Sports brackets for the second time in three years. The model also nailed a whopping three teams in the Final Four last year.

It knows how to spot an upset as well. The same model has produced brackets that have nailed 17 first-round upsets by double-digit seeds. It also nailed some massive upsets last tournament, including predicting the championship game between Gonzaga and Baylor, and hit Houston’s Midwest Region win even though the Cougars weren’t the No. 1 seed. Getting those picks right could literally make or break your March Madness bracket.

Now, SportsLine’s advanced computer model has simulated the entire NCAA Tournament 10,000 times to come up with the perfect 2022 NCAA Tournament bracket and find out which teams will pull off the biggest upsets. You shouldn’t even think about making a pick without seeing what their model has to say.

Top 2022 March Madness bracket upset picks

One team set to pull off a shocking upset in 2022 March Madness brackets: No. 9 Memphis knocks off No. 8 Boise State in the West region. The Tigers are peaking at just the right time even in the wake of five-star freshman Emoni Bates’ back injury. Memphis has held its last 15 opponents to just 39 percent from the field and 30 percent from three-point land. The Tigers have the rangy athletes who can put the clamps on Boise on the perimeter, along with the AAC’s leading shot blocker, Jalen Duren, protecting the paint.

If Boise struggles to score both inside and outside the arc, then it has no other avenues to put points on the scoreboard. The Broncos rank last among the 68 NCAA tournament 2022 teams in free throw percentage, so any disruption of their half-court sets often leads to losses. No. 9 seeds have a winning record over No. 8 seeds in the NCAA basketball tournament, and the model predicts that trend continuing in this matchup.

Another huge curveball in the West Region: No. 10 Davidson upsets No. 7 Michigan State. This may be classified a neutral-site game, but the crowd will certainly be in Davidson’s favor. The game takes place in Greenville, S.C., a two-hour drive from Davidson’s campus, but is 11 hours away from Lansing, Mich.

MSU went just 2-6 over its last eight games away from home and it doesn’t have a singular star who can just take over games like it’s had in the past. No Spartan even finished among the top 30 in the Big Ten in scoring, as leading scorer Gabe Brown averaged just 11.4 points per game.

Davidson has four players who average more than Brown, so even if one or two have an off night, it still has enough offensive firepower to topple the Spartans. Recent history is also on Davidson’s side since No. 10 seeds are 5-2 (one no-contest) against No. 7 seeds over the past two tournaments.

How to make 2022 NCAA Tournament bracket predictions

SportsLine’s model also says a No. 11 seed and a No. 5 seed make the Final Four. It also tells you which No. 12 and No. 10 seeds are a must-back. Nailing those picks could literally make or break your bracket. With the model’s track record of calling bracket-busting upsets, you’ll want to see which stunners it is calling this year before locking in any NCAA bracket picks.

So what’s the optimal NCAA Tournament 2022 bracket? And which underdogs will shock college basketball? Visit SportsLine here to see which No. 11 and No. 5 seeds make the Final Four, plus which 12- and 10-seeds are a must-back, all from the model that’s nailed 17 double-digit seed upsets in the first round.